MINERVA: North-West European shelf seas marine climate projections data: spatial two-dimensional 30-year mean climatology ensemble members

These climate projections for the North-West European Shelf Seas update the shelf seas component of UKCP09 Marine Report (Lowe et al, 2009) and were funded by the MINERVA project.



This dataset contains three ensemble exemplars for model output based on the QUMP (Quantifying Uncertainties in Model Projections) ensemble of HadCM3 (Hadley Centre Coupled Model version 3) runs downscaled with the POLCOMS (Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Coastal Ocean Modelling System) under SRES A1B (Special Report on Emissons Scenarios - A1B business-as-usual with medium emissions) conditions, from 1952-2098 for which 30-year means anomalies have been calculated from monthly mean data for each of the 12 months.



A Perturbed Physics Ensemble (PPE) of HadCM3 has been downscaled with the shelf seas model POLCOMS. Each of the 11 ensemble members has been downscaled as transient simulations (from 1952-2098) under the SRES A1B emissions scenario. The PPE (QUMP) was designed to span the range of uncertainty associated with model parameter uncertainty in the atmosphere of the driving global climate model. POLCOMS was run at 12 km resolution, with 32 vertical levels using s-coordinates over the NW European Shelf Seas domain (-18.3 to 14 degrees East, 43 to 63.56 degrees North). Monthly statistics of the model results were recorded.

Further details can be found in Tinker et al (2015).

Simple

Date (Publication)
2016-09-05T11:00:00
Date (Creation)
2016-09-05T11:00:00
Citation identifier
https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/0899444452c740cc8cdc65e86fb301c7
Citation identifier
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) / 0899444452c740cc8cdc65e86fb301c7
Citation identifier
doi / http://dx.doi.org/10.5285/B85E9319-1531-4C93-875B-E6BBC8B7D9AC
Point of contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Unavailable

Tinker, Jonathan

Unavailable

 		Author

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Custodian

Met Office

enquiries@metoffice.gov.uk

Owner

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Distributor

Unavailable

Pinnegar, John

Unavailable

 		Principal investigator

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

pointofContact

Unavailable

Tinker, Jonathan

Unavailable

 		pointofContact

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Publisher
Maintenance and update frequency
Not planned
Update scope
Dataset
Keywords

  • MINERVA

  • UKCP

  • Marine Climate

  • Climate Projection

  • Uncertainty

  • Climate Downscaling

  • Shelf Seas

  • Temperature

  • SST

  • Salinity

  • Stratification

  • Sea Surface Temperature

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

  • atmospheric conditions
Access constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints
Access to these data is available to any registered CEDA user. Please Login or Register for a CEDA account to gain access.
Use constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints
Under the following licence http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Spatial representation type
Grid
Language
English
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
N
S
E
W
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Begin date
1960-01-01T00:00:00
End date
2098-12-31T23:59:00
Unique resource identifier
WGS 84
Distribution format
Name Version

NetCDF
Distributor contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Distributor
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/0899444452c740cc8cdc65e86fb301c7

CEDA Data Catalogue Page
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ukcp09/data/marine/minerva/dataset_1/ens_members

DOWNLOAD
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://randd.defra.gov.uk/Default.aspx?Menu=Menu&Module=More&Location=None&Completed=2&ProjectID=19006

Maritime Industries- Environmental Risk and Vulnerability Assessment (MINERVA)
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/spm/sres-en.pdf

Nakicenovic et al 2000, IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://ukclimateprojections.metoffice.gov.uk/media.jsp?mediaid=87850&filetype=pdf

Lowe et al 2009, UK Climate Projections Science Report: Marine and Coastal Projections
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0079661115001536

Tinker et al 2015, Validation of an ensemble modelling system for climate projections for the northwest European shelf seas
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://cobs.noc.ac.uk/modl/polcoms/

Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory Coastal Ocean Modelling System (POLCOMS)
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/e/3/SelectingCGMsToDownscale.pdf

Selecting members of the 'QUMP' perturbed-physics ensemble for use with PRECIS
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://www.researchgate.net/publication/248230746_The_potential_impacts_of_climate_change_on_the_hydrography_of_the_northwest_European_continental_shelf

Holt et al 2010, The potential impacts of climate change on the hydrography of the northwest European continental shelf
Hierarchy level
Dataset

Conformance result

Title

Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services

Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Statement

A Perturbed Physics Ensemble (PPE) of the Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model (AO-GCM, or GCM) HadCM3 is downscaled by the shelf seas model POLCOMS. Monthly mean (and time-step minimum, maximum and variance) 3D (temperature, salinity, u- and v- components of currents) and 2D (surface elevation) fields were saved and the following variables were calculated:

SST: Sea Surface Temperature – surface model layer

SSS: Sea Surface Salinity – surface model layer

NBT: Near-Bed Temperature – bottom model layer

NBS: Near-Bed Salinity – bottom model layer

DFT: Difference between SST and NBT – surface model layer minus bottom model layer

DFS: Difference between SSS and NBS – surface model layer minus bottom model layer

PEA: Potential Energy Anomaly (a measure of stratification).

MLD: Mixed Layer Depth

Metadata

File identifier
0899444452c740cc8cdc65e86fb301c7 XML
Metadata language
English
Character set
UTF8
Parent identifier
MINERVA: Update to the UKCP09 Marine Report North-West European Shelf Seas Marine Climate Projections

9eba512621144dbaacda1ddb470f885b
Hierarchy level
Dataset
Date stamp
2026-02-05T03:11:24
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version

2.3
Metadata author
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Point of contact
 
 

Overviews

Spatial extent

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Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

atmospheric conditions


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