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Predicted outcomes from land use change scenarios in upland Wales catchments

A spatial approach was developed to interpret qualitatively expressed scenarios, and predict the probability and amount of change for 10 land-cover types across 127 sub-catchments in upland Wales. Existing data, which have a temporal coverage of 1998-2007, were used for the underpinning mapping, and fed into the tabular land cover change summary data. For each scenario, the maximum and minimum land-cover change was projected using rules based on current land cover, agricultural land quality, ownership type, and nature conservation status. For each combination, total land-cover change summaries have been created, which indicate how land cover within the 127 sub-catchments may respond to change in the future. This work was part of the Diversity in Upland River Ecosystem Service Sustainability (DURESS) project, NERC grant NE/J014826/1. Full details about this dataset can be found at https://doi.org/10.5285/0dd30cc6-d4fb-42f5-a5a4-954cf01a230b

Simple

Date (Publication)
2017-02-28
Citation identifier
https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/0dd30cc6-d4fb-42f5-a5a4-954cf01a230b
Citation identifier
doi: / 10.5285/0dd30cc6-d4fb-42f5-a5a4-954cf01a230b
Other citation details

Small, N., Prosser, H., Durance, I. (2017). Predicted outcomes from land use change scenarios in upland Wales catchments. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre 10.5285/0dd30cc6-d4fb-42f5-a5a4-954cf01a230b

Point of contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role
Cardiff University

Small, N.

SmallN@cardiff.ac.uk

Point of contact
Cardiff University Small, N.

SmallN@cardiff.ac.uk

Author
Cardiff University

Prosser, H.

enquiries@ceh.ac.uk

Author
Cardiff University

Durance, I.

durance@cardiff.ac.uk

Author
NERC Environmental Information Data Centre

info@eidc.ac.uk

Publisher
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre

info@eidc.ac.uk

Custodian
Maintenance and update frequency
Unknown

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

  • Land Cover

Keywords
  • Biodiversity & Ecosystem Service Sustainability (BESS)

  • Diversity in Upland River Ecosystem Service Sustainability (DURESS)

  • scenarios

  • land-cover

  • uplands

  • catchments

Access constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints
no limitations
Use constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints

© NERC and Cardiff University

Use constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints
This resource is made available under the terms of the Open Government Licence
Use constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints

If you reuse this data, you should cite: Small, N., Prosser, H., Durance, I. (2017). Predicted outcomes from land use change scenarios in upland Wales catchments. NERC Environmental Information Data Centre https://doi.org/10.5285/0dd30cc6-d4fb-42f5-a5a4-954cf01a230b

Spatial representation type
Text, table
Language
English
Character set
UTF8
Topic category
  • Environment
  • Economy
  • Health
  • Inland waters
Begin date
2014-07-01
End date
2015-12-01
N
S
E
W
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Unique resource identifier
OSGB 1936 / British National Grid
Distribution format
Name Version

Comma-separated values (CSV)

Distributor contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre

info@eidc.ac.uk

Distributor
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
https://data-package.ceh.ac.uk/data/0dd30cc6-d4fb-42f5-a5a4-954cf01a230b

Download the data

OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
https://data-package.ceh.ac.uk/sd/0dd30cc6-d4fb-42f5-a5a4-954cf01a230b.zip

Supporting information

Hierarchy level
Dataset
Other

dataset

Conformance result

Title

Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services

Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Statement

Existing spatial datasets were collected and used to predict the maximum and minimum outcomes for land use change scenarios. These data include the 25 x 25m Land Cover Map 2007 raster, which was aggregated to 13 classes (see supporting documentation). The Agricultural Land Classification (ALC), designated boundary, and ownership data were also used. Using GIS, sub-catchment boundaries were used to clip the land cover, agricultural land quality, ownership, and designated sites data. Following this, two separate polygon layers were built to represent maximum (using land-cover and ALC data), and minimum (land-cover, ALC, plus additional datasets representing protected areas and areas of ownership) change. These were created by using the 'union' process in ArcGIS. A unique identifier was created in the polygon layers, and in each rule-base. The purpose of this unique identifier was to help match all attributes in the data and rule-base and join them together. In ArcGIS, calculations such as land cover area, land cover area percent, and net change (before and after scenario was applied) were made. Due to multiple land cover, ALC, designation and protected area permutations, a final summary was needed to illustrate by how much land cover changed under the different scenarios. Therefore, in Excel, each land cover in each sub-catchment was summarised and a total area before and after scenario was calculated. These values were exported into Excel spreadsheets and then into comma separated values for ingestion into the EIDC.

Metadata

File identifier
0dd30cc6-d4fb-42f5-a5a4-954cf01a230b XML
Metadata language
English
Character set
8859 Part 1
Hierarchy level
Dataset
Hierarchy level name

dataset

Date stamp
2025-11-13T16:23:44
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version

2.3

Metadata author
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role
NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre

info@eidc.ac.uk

Point of contact
 
 

Overviews

Spatial extent

thumbnail

Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

Land Cover


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