UKCP09: UK temperature projections from low, medium and high emissions scenarios' equivalent global temperature changes

The UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) projections of temperature from low, medium and high emissions scenarios' equivalent global temperature changes. They are probabilistic climate predictions based on families of runs of the Met Office Hadley Centre climate models HadCM3, HadRM3 and HadSM3, plus climate models from other climate centres contributing to IPCC AR4 and CMIP3.

The equivalent changes in global temperatures are taken from three emissions scenarios: low (IPCC SRES: B1), medium (IPCC SRES: A1B), and high (IPCC SRES: A1FI). Each scenario provides estimates over seven 30 year period averages: 2010-2039, 2030s = 2020-2049, 2040s = 2030-2059, 2050s = 2040-2069, 2060s = 2050-2079, 2070s = 2060-2089, 2080s = 2070-2099. Temperature changes are given relative to 1961-1990.

Date (Publication): 2017-09-05T13:03:16

Date (Creation): 2017-09-05T13:03:16

Citation identifier: https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/29704dd12685405ba7c514513b011b2b

Citation identifier: Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) / 29704dd12685405ba7c514513b011b2b

Point of contact

Organisation name	Electronic mail address	Role
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)	unknown	Author
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)	support@ceda.ac.uk	Custodian
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)	unknown	Owner
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)	support@ceda.ac.uk	Distributor
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA)	unknown	Principal investigator
Environment Agency	unknown	Principal investigator
Met Office	enquiries@metoffice.gov.uk	Principal investigator
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)	support@ceda.ac.uk	pointofContact
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)	unknown	pointofContact
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)	support@ceda.ac.uk	Publisher

Maintenance and update frequency: Not planned

Update scope: Dataset

Keywords

UKCP09
UK
temperature
climate projections

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

atmospheric conditions

Access constraints: Other restrictions

Other constraints: Access to these data is available to any registered CEDA user. Please Login or Register for a CEDA account to gain access.

Use constraints: Other restrictions

Other constraints: Under the following licence http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.

Spatial representation type: Grid

Language: English

Topic category

Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere

Begin date: 2010-01-01T00:00:00

End date: 2099-12-31T23:59:59

Unique resource identifier: WGS 84

Distribution format

Name	Version
The data are provided in NetCDF format and adhere to v1.0 of the CF data conventions

Distributor contact

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)		support@ceda.ac.uk	Distributor

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/29704dd12685405ba7c514513b011b2b	CEDA Data Catalogue Page

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ukcp09/data/projections/global_temp	DOWNLOAD

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ukcp09/metadata/projections/projections_archive_overview.txt	UKCP09 archive overview

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	http://ukclimateprojections.metoffice.gov.uk/	UK climate projections website

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://zenodo.org/record/7357017/files/UKCP09_Review.pdf	UKCP09 climate projections review

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://zenodo.org/record/7357019/files/Responses-to-UKCP09-science-review.pdf	UKCP09 climate projections response

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://zenodo.org/record/7357038/files/observed_trend_full_report.pdf	The climate of the UK and recent trends

Hierarchy level: Dataset

Conformance result

Title: Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services

Date (Publication): 2010-12-08

Statement: Original data were produced by the Met Office as part of the UKCP09 service before preparation for archival with the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA.)

Metadata

File identifier: 29704dd12685405ba7c514513b011b2b XML

Metadata language: English

Character set: UTF8

Parent identifier: UKCP09: Land and marine past climate and future scenario projections data for the UK
094d9c9b9dda42c0aa1a1848af9fb56b

Hierarchy level: Dataset

Date stamp: 2026-03-11T03:16:17

Metadata standard name: UK GEMINI

Metadata standard version: 2.3

Metadata author

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)		support@ceda.ac.uk	Point of contact

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