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UKCP09: Probabilistic projections data of climate parameters over UK land

The UK Climate Projections (UKCP09) probabilistic climate projections of climate change over land. These data consist of various meteorological parameters such as temperature, precipitation, surface pressure, humidity. The projections of future absolute climate that assign a probability level to different climate possibilities, the absolute values, percentage change relative to the observed climate (1961-1990) and percentiles of the parameter projections are provided over 30 year time periods over the projection period 2010-2099. The averaging periods provided are: 2010-2039, 2020-2049, 2030-2059, 2040-2069, 2050-2079, 2060-2089, 2070-2099. Data are provided over three aggregated areas, (1) a 25km grid over the UK, (2) administrative regions that are areas of the UK based on administrative boundaries and (3) river basins that are based on a division of the UK land area based on the Water Framework Directive River Basin Districts.



In 2009 the first version of the UK probabilistic projections of climate change over land were provided. In 2013 an update was made to some of the files (version 2). Both versions of this data are made available here with the version 2 data being the most recent.



These projections provides an absolute value for the future climate (as opposed to giving values that are relative to a baseline period). A probabilistic climate projection is a measure of strength of evidence in different future climate change outcomes. This measure is dependent on the method used, is based on the current available evidence and encapsulates some, but not all, of the uncertainty associated with projecting future climate.



The climate projections report contains further details.

Simple

Date (Publication)
2017-09-05T13:03:05
Date (Creation)
2017-09-05T13:03:05
Citation identifier
https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/31cebae359e643ca9dbd1a8d0235d6fe
Citation identifier
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) / 31cebae359e643ca9dbd1a8d0235d6fe
Point of contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)

unknown

Author

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Custodian

Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)

unknown

Owner

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Distributor

Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA)

unknown

Principal investigator

Environment Agency

unknown

Principal investigator

Met Office

enquiries@metoffice.gov.uk

Principal investigator

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

pointofContact

Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)

unknown

pointofContact

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Publisher
Maintenance and update frequency
Not planned
Update scope
Dataset
Keywords
  • UKCP09

  • UK

  • probabilistic

  • climate projections

  • land

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

  • atmospheric conditions

Access constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints
Access to these data is available to any registered CEDA user. Please Login or Register for a CEDA account to gain access.
Use constraints
Other restrictions
Other constraints
Under the following licence http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.
Spatial representation type
Grid
Language
English
Topic category
  • Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
N
S
E
W
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Begin date
2010-01-01T00:00:00
End date
2099-12-31T23:59:59
Unique resource identifier
WGS 84
Distribution format
Name Version

The data are provided in NetCDF format and adhere to version 1.0 of the CF conventions.

Distributor contact
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Distributor
OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/31cebae359e643ca9dbd1a8d0235d6fe

CEDA Data Catalogue Page

OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ukcp09/data/projections/prob_land_cc

DOWNLOAD

OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ukcp09/metadata/projections/projections_archive_overview.txt

UKCP09 archive overview

OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
https://zenodo.org/record/7357021/files/climate_projections_full_report.pdf

Climate projections report

OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
http://ukclimateprojections.metoffice.gov.uk/

UK climate projections website

OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
https://zenodo.org/record/7357019/files/Responses-to-UKCP09-science-review.pdf

UKCP09 climate projections response

OnLine resource
Protocol Linkage Name
https://zenodo.org/record/7357017/files/UKCP09_Review.pdf

UKCP09 climate projections review

Hierarchy level
Dataset

Conformance result

Title

Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services

Date (Publication)
2010-12-08
Statement

Original data were produced by the Met Office as part of the UKCP09 service before preparation for archival with CEDA. No data has been altered during archival, however the directory structure of the two versions of this dataset were modified by CEDA during the archival process to provide a clear directory structure.

Metadata

File identifier
31cebae359e643ca9dbd1a8d0235d6fe XML
Metadata language
English
Character set
UTF8
Parent identifier
UKCP09: Land and marine past climate and future scenario projections data for the UK

094d9c9b9dda42c0aa1a1848af9fb56b

Hierarchy level
Dataset
Date stamp
2026-03-01T03:14:36
Metadata standard name
UK GEMINI
Metadata standard version

2.3

Metadata author
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role

Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)

support@ceda.ac.uk

Point of contact
 
 

Overviews

Spatial extent

thumbnail

Keywords

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

atmospheric conditions


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Read here the full details and access to the data.




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