96666de7316b34c99a8ac400335017cd English 8-bit variable size UCS Transfer Format, based on ISO/IEC 10646 series series NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre (NCAS BADC) +44(0)1235 446432 British Atmospheric Data Centre STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory Harwell Oxford OX11 0QX UK badc@rl.ac.uk pointOfContact 2026-04-13T02:27:35 UK GEMINI 2.3 WGS 84 RAPID: Numerical meteorological model output data from the HadCM3 control ensemble 2008-12-10T02:40:23 publication 2008-12-10T02:40:23 creation https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/96666de7316b34c99a8ac400335017cd 96666de7316b34c99a8ac400335017cd NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre (NCAS BADC) Data from "The Predictability of rapid climate change associated with the Atlantic thermohaline circulation" project. This was a Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) RAPID Climate Change Research Programme project (Round 2 - NE/C509174/1 - Duration 1 Jan 2005 - 18 Sep 2008) led by Prof Rowan Sutton of the University of Reading, with co-investigators at the University of Oxford and at the National Oceanography Centre. The dataset identifies the dominant sources of uncertainty in General Circulation Model predictions of the Thermohaline Circulation. This dataset contains meteorology model output from the HadCM3 control ensemble. Forecasts of the future behaviour of the Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation (THC) are needed to inform policy on climate change. Such forecasts must be probabilistic taking into account the principal sources of uncertainty. It is not possible to sample exhaustively all sources of uncertainty because the number of degrees of freedom is too great. Consequently a future forecasting system will be reliant on strategies to identify those dimensions of uncertainty that are most important. This project developed an objective methodology to identify the dominant sources of uncertainty in General Circulation Model predictions of the THC. Perturbations to oceanic initial conditions and climate model parameters that generate the most rapid change in the THC and related aspects of climate were identified. These perturbations were used to produce an early probabilistic forecast for the behaviour of the THC up to 2100. The results were also feed directly into the next generation of ensemble climate predictions being developed at the UK Hadley Centre. Rapid Climate Change (RAPID) was a £20 million, six-year (2001-2007) programme for the Natural Environment Research Council. The programme aimed to improve the ability to quantify the probability and magnitude of future rapid change in climate, with a main (but not exclusive) focus on the role of the Atlantic Ocean's Thermohaline Circulation. Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) author 01793 411500 Polaris House North Star Avenue Swindon SN2 1EU United Kingdom unknown author Sutton, Rowan Unavailable author Unavailable author et. al, Unavailable author Unavailable author NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre (NCAS BADC) custodian +44(0)1235 446432 British Atmospheric Data Centre STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory Harwell Oxford OX11 0QX UK badc@rl.ac.uk custodian NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre (NCAS BADC) distributor +44(0)1235 446432 British Atmospheric Data Centre STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory Harwell Oxford OX11 0QX UK badc@rl.ac.uk distributor NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre (NCAS BADC) point_of_contact +44(0)1235 446432 British Atmospheric Data Centre STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory Harwell Oxford OX11 0QX UK badc@rl.ac.uk pointofContact NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre (NCAS BADC) publisher +44(0)1235 446432 British Atmospheric Data Centre STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory Harwell Oxford OX11 0QX UK badc@rl.ac.uk publisher unknown series RAPID Climate change Atlantic Ocean's Thermohaline Circulation atmospheric conditions theme GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0 2008-06-01 publication otherRestrictions Please contact the data centre for assistance on accessing data from this dataset collection. otherRestrictions Under the following licence http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record. grid English climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere -180.0 180.0 -90.0 90.0 1991-08-31T23:00:00 2030-01-01T23:59:59 Contact data centre for format details. NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre (NCAS BADC) Data Center Contact +44(0)1235 446432 British Atmospheric Data Centre STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory Harwell Oxford OX11 0QX UK badc@rl.ac.uk distributor https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/96666de7316b34c99a8ac400335017cd CEDA Data Catalogue Page Detail and access information for the resource information https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/badc_datadocs/rapid/models.html Rapid Models No further details. information https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/badc_datadocs/rapid/scienceplan.pdf RAPID Science plan No further details. information https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/badc_datadocs/rapid/rapid_brochure.pdf Rapid brochure No further details. information series Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services 2010-12-08 Please see data lineage statements for each dataset within this collection for data lineage details.