BGS Hosted Metadata
Perturbed CO2 forecasts of the February 2019 European heatwave
This dataset contains a range of model output from both operational runs of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) CY45R1 model forecasts and hindcasts and output from specific experimental runs.
These data were produced to support the article "Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability" (see citation and link to paper elsewhere on this record).
Within the archived products the directory tree structure is as follows:
Top level domain splitting:
>EU
Model data at 0.25 degree resolution for the region contained within (33 to 73.5N / -27 to 45E).
>GLOB
Model data at 0.25 degree resolution for the full globe.
Below which there are sub-directories as follows (note, M-climate is only available for the EU domain):
>>ENS
Data from the operational Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) forecast.
>>M-climate
Data from EPS hindcasts used to construct model climate. See https://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/FUG/M-climate%2C+the+ENS+Model+Climate.
>>pi-CO2
Data from EPS forecast that replicates operations *but for* reduced CO2 concentrations, set to 285 ppm.
>>incr-CO2
Data from EPS forecast that replicates operations *but for* increased CO2 concentrations, set to 600 ppm.
Within these runs the data are then available on the following level types:
>>>pl
Data on pressure levels.
>>>sfc
Data on single levels.
Ensemble data are further split into sub-directories as follows:
>>>>cf
Control forecast member.
>>>>pf
Perturbed forecast members.
The specific variables available within each netCDF file can differ depending on the region and experiment type (eg. the operational ENS forecasts whose initialisation dates match those of the perturbed CO2 experiments have more variables available than the others). All the datasets & variables required to reproduce the analysis are described in the paper.
Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability. Nicholas J. Leach, Antje Weisheimer, Myles R. Allen, Tim Palmer. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Dec 2021, 118 (49) e2112087118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2112087118
Simple
- Date (Publication)
- 2021-11-17T12:05:32
- Date (Creation)
- 2021-11-17T12:05:32
- Citation identifier
- https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/dd6a312c701f47778390de50cd052071
- Citation identifier
- NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis / dd6a312c701f47778390de50cd052071
- Citation identifier
- doi / 10.5285/dd6a312c701f47778390de50cd052071
- Point of contact
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
unknown
Author Unavailable
Leach, Nicholas J.
Unavailable
Author NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis
Custodian NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis
Distributor Unavailable
Allen, Myles
Unavailable
Principal investigator Unavailable
Leach, Nicholas J.
Unavailable
Principal investigator Unavailable
Palmer, Tim
Unavailable
Principal investigator Unavailable
Weisheimer, Antje
Unavailable
Principal investigator NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis
pointofContact NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis
Publisher
- Maintenance and update frequency
- Not planned
- Update scope
- Dataset
- Keywords
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CO2
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ECMWF
-
European heatwave
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GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
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atmospheric conditions
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- Access constraints
- Other restrictions
- Other constraints
- Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
- Use constraints
- Other restrictions
- Spatial representation type
- Grid
- Language
- English
- Topic category
-
- Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
))
- Begin date
- 2019-01-14T00:00:00
- End date
- 2019-03-01T00:00:00
- Unique resource identifier
- WGS 84
- Distribution format
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Name Version Data are netCDF formatted
- Distributor contact
-
Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis
Distributor
- OnLine resource
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Protocol Linkage Name https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/dd6a312c701f47778390de50cd052071 CEDA Data Catalogue Page
- OnLine resource
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Protocol Linkage Name http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/deposited2021/perturbedCO2-forecasts/ DOWNLOAD
- OnLine resource
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Protocol Linkage Name https://www.ecmwf.int/en/publications/ifs-documentation IFS documentation
- OnLine resource
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Protocol Linkage Name https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2112087118 Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability. Nicholas J. Leach, Antje Weisheimer, Myles R. Allen, Tim Palmer. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Dec 2021, 118 (49) e2112087118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2112087118
- Hierarchy level
- Dataset
Conformance result
- Title
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Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services
- Date (Publication)
- 2010-12-08
- Statement
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Data were generated using the ECMWF IFS CY45R1 model at Tco639 resolution. Data are either operational forecast data, or experiments that use an identical model version and setup to operations in which the CO2 concentration has been perturbed. These experiments would replicate operations but for the CO2 perturbations. Data were post-processed using cdo1.9.8 and NCO4.7.2. The data were then sent to the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) for archiving.
Metadata
- File identifier
- dd6a312c701f47778390de50cd052071 XML
- Metadata language
- English
- Character set
- UTF8
- Hierarchy level
- Dataset
- Date stamp
- 2026-03-11T03:23:36
- Metadata standard name
- UK GEMINI
- Metadata standard version
-
2.3
- Metadata author
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis
Point of contact
)))
