ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 English ISO/IEC 8859-1 (also known as Latin 1) dataset dataset NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre Lancaster Environment Centre, Library Avenue, Bailrigg Lancaster LA1 4AP UK info@eidc.ac.uk https://eidc.ac.uk/ EIDC website The Environmental Information Data Centre (EIDC) is the UK's national data centre for terrestrial and freshwater sciences. information pointOfContact 2026-02-06T09:51:00 UK GEMINI 2.3 OSGB 1936 / British National Grid Spatial risk analysis for Phytophthora pinifolia infection of Caledonian Pinewood Inventory fragments in Scotland 2025-10-22 publication 2025-10-22 creation https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 10.5285/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 doi: Barwell, L.J., Turvey, K., Amankwaa, G., Asaaga, F., Cooke, D.E.L., Mitchell, R., Purse, B.V. (2025). Spatial risk analysis for Phytophthora pinifolia infection of Caledonian Pinewood Inventory fragments in Scotland. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre 10.5285/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 This dataset maps the potential vulnerability to Phytophthora pinifolia infection for 82 core fragments of the Caledonian Pinewood Inventory (CPI) in Scotland. Fragment risk scores integrate climate suitability for pathogen growth, proximity to other pine fragments and inspected premises and recent planting under forestry grant schemes. Data and models used to assess risks are variable in their time frames, but are broadly representative of the period from 2013 to 2023. The risk maps for Caledonian Pine assess the vulnerability of CPI fragments, if P. pinifolia were to arrive, and the most probable areas of introduction and establishment. P. pinifolia has not been detected in the UK but is on the UK Plant Health Risk Register. All known host species are within the genus Pinus, either recorded as naturally occurring disease affecting the shoots and needles of Pinus radiata, or established through pathogenicity trials on other species within the genus, albeit with varying levels of susceptibility. The only known source region for the pathogen is Chile. P. pinifolia has been ranked 8th among Phytophthora species mostly likely to arrive among the 109 Phytophthora species assessed, with this higher risk predominantly driven by the model component describing climatic similarity between forest, agricultural and urban habitats in Chile and the UK. A Rapid Pest Risk Analysis for P. pinifolia considered it unlikely to enter the UK due to restrictions on import of living pine species from non-EU countries, though transport may still be possible with other, unknown, hosts. Full details about this dataset can be found at https://doi.org/10.5285/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 Louise Barwell UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology enquiries@ceh.ac.uk pointOfContact Barwell, L.J. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology enquiries@ceh.ac.uk https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1643-1046 ORCID record ORCID is an open, non-profit, community-driven effort to create and maintain a registry of unique researcher identifiers and a transparent method of linking research activities and outputs to these identifiers. information author Turvey, K. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology enquiries@ceh.ac.uk https://orcid.org/0009-0001-2611-3391 ORCID record ORCID is an open, non-profit, community-driven effort to create and maintain a registry of unique researcher identifiers and a transparent method of linking research activities and outputs to these identifiers. information author Amankwaa, G. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology enquiries@ceh.ac.uk https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0334-5867 ORCID record ORCID is an open, non-profit, community-driven effort to create and maintain a registry of unique researcher identifiers and a transparent method of linking research activities and outputs to these identifiers. information author Asaaga, F. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology enquiries@ceh.ac.uk https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2675-9464 ORCID record ORCID is an open, non-profit, community-driven effort to create and maintain a registry of unique researcher identifiers and a transparent method of linking research activities and outputs to these identifiers. information author Cooke, D.E.L. James Hutton Institute david.cooke@hutton.ac.uk https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9154-7954 ORCID record ORCID is an open, non-profit, community-driven effort to create and maintain a registry of unique researcher identifiers and a transparent method of linking research activities and outputs to these identifiers. information author Mitchell, R. James Hutton Institute ruth.mitchell@hutton.ac.uk https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8151-2769 ORCID record ORCID is an open, non-profit, community-driven effort to create and maintain a registry of unique researcher identifiers and a transparent method of linking research activities and outputs to these identifiers. information author Purse, B.V. UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology enquiries@ceh.ac.uk https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5140-2710 ORCID record ORCID is an open, non-profit, community-driven effort to create and maintain a registry of unique researcher identifiers and a transparent method of linking research activities and outputs to these identifiers. information author UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology enquiries@ceh.ac.uk owner NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre info@eidc.ac.uk publisher NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre info@eidc.ac.uk custodian Habitats and Biotopes theme GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0 2008-06-01 publication exotic species forest pest forestry habitat pathogenic organism phytopathology risk assessment GEMET - Concepts, version 4.1.3 2019-01-28 creation Environmental risk Scotland otherRestrictions no limitations otherRestrictions This resource is available under the terms of the Open Government Licence otherRestrictions If you reuse this data, you should cite: Barwell, L.J., Turvey, K., Amankwaa, G., Asaaga, F., Cooke, D.E.L., Mitchell, R., Purse, B.V. (2025). Spatial risk analysis for Phytophthora pinifolia infection of Caledonian Pinewood Inventory fragments in Scotland. NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre https://doi.org/10.5285/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 grid 15015 English utf8 environment 2013-01-01 2023-12-31 -8.648 -0.728 54.634 60.861 TIFF geopackage NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre info@eidc.ac.uk distributor https://data-package.ceh.ac.uk/data/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 Download the data Download a copy of this data download https://data-package.ceh.ac.uk/sd/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872.zip Supporting information Supporting information available to assist in re-use of this dataset information dataset dataset Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services 2010-12-08 We employed an iterative and collaborative co-production process that brought together stakeholders with diverse expertise from across Scotland's plant health sector including forestry, conservation, horticulture, and government agencies. Risk factors and their scoring were agreed with 15 cross-sectoral stakeholders through a self-completion survey and two workshops. Overall risk scores integrate climate suitability (using pathogen-specific temperature-dependent growth curves and relative humidity thresholds), with proximity to other pine fragments, inspected premises and planting under forestry grant schemes. As agreed in the first workshop, climate suitability was given the greatest weight in the scoring of the risk factors. Due to the absence of any P. pinifolia detections in the UK, the spatial risk frameworks exclude proximity to infected areas. The final report was peer reviewed by the Plant Health Centre. In addition, a knowledge integration and validation workshop (November 13, 2024) examined the adequacy of the outputs for horizon scanning and decision-making across sectors. Validation of pathogen-specific climate suitability models has been attempted for other Phytophthora species using independent UK and European detections, but is not possible for P. pinifolia as the pathogen has not been detected in Europe.