UKCP09: Climate scenarios projection data of sea level rise for UK waters

UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) sea level rise data provides projections of changes in absolute sea level rise in waters surrounding the UK and changes in relative sea level for coastal areas, where the influence of land movements is considered (and data included here) over the period 1999-2099. Data are provided for three emissions scenarios: Low (IPCC SRES: B1), Medium (IPCC SRES: A1B), and High (IPCC SRES: A1FI).

These projections also include a high risk, low probability scenario (known as the H++ scenario). The H++ scenario has been included to reflect the fact that there considerable uncertainties about the upper limit of absolute sea-level rise. This scenario relies, in part, on expert judgement and is designed to encourage users to think about thresholds of existing systems and the limits to adaptation.

Note: Unlike some other components of UKCP09, the sea level projections are not probabilistic. They provide a frequency distribution of projections based on results from eleven models contributed to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. The model projections of sea level rise have not been weighted based on comparison with historical sea level observations, and are therefore treated as equally plausible.

More information about the sea level rise methodology (including assumptions and caveats) is given in Chapter 3 of the Marine & coastal projections report.

Date (Publication): 2017-09-05T13:01:59

Date (Creation): 2017-09-05T13:01:59

Citation identifier: https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/de1e833f972248e69285424fbd9ceac2

Citation identifier: Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) / de1e833f972248e69285424fbd9ceac2

Point of contact

Organisation name	Electronic mail address	Role
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)	unknown	Author
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)	support@ceda.ac.uk	Custodian
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)	unknown	Owner
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)	support@ceda.ac.uk	Distributor
Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (DEFRA)	unknown	Principal investigator
Environment Agency	unknown	Principal investigator
Met Office	enquiries@metoffice.gov.uk	Principal investigator
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)	support@ceda.ac.uk	pointofContact
Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (MOHC)	unknown	pointofContact
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)	support@ceda.ac.uk	Publisher

Maintenance and update frequency: Not planned

Update scope: Dataset

Keywords

UKCP09
UK sea level rise
climate projections

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

atmospheric conditions

Access constraints: Other restrictions

Other constraints: Access to these data is available to any registered CEDA user. Please Login or Register for a CEDA account to gain access.

Use constraints: Other restrictions

Other constraints: Under the following licence http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/version/3/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.

Spatial representation type: Grid

Language: English

Topic category

Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere

Begin date: 1990-01-01T00:00:00

End date: 2100-12-31T23:59:59

Unique resource identifier: WGS 84

Distribution format

Name	Version
The data are NetCDF formatted and adhere to v1.0 of the CF data conventions.

Distributor contact

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)		support@ceda.ac.uk	Distributor

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/de1e833f972248e69285424fbd9ceac2	CEDA Data Catalogue Page

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ukcp09/data/projections/sea_level_rise	DOWNLOAD

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	http://ukclimateprojections.metoffice.gov.uk/	UK climate projections website

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://zenodo.org/record/7357019/files/Responses-to-UKCP09-science-review.pdf	UKCP09 climate projections response

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://zenodo.org/record/7357017/files/UKCP09_Review.pdf	UKCP09 climate projections review

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://zenodo.org/record/7357025/files/marine_and_costal_projections_full_report.pdf	Marine and coastal projections report

Hierarchy level: Dataset

Conformance result

Title: Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services

Date (Publication): 2010-12-08

Statement: Original data were produced by the Met Office as part of the UKCP09 service before preparation for archival with the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA).

Metadata

File identifier: de1e833f972248e69285424fbd9ceac2 XML

Metadata language: English

Character set: UTF8

Parent identifier: UKCP09: Land and marine past climate and future scenario projections data for the UK
094d9c9b9dda42c0aa1a1848af9fb56b

Hierarchy level: Dataset

Date stamp: 2026-02-25T03:14:17

Metadata standard name: UK GEMINI

Metadata standard version: 2.3

Metadata author

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA)		support@ceda.ac.uk	Point of contact

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