e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7 English 8-bit variable size UCS Transfer Format, based on ISO/IEC 10646 932c79b1f7cd4f34b7c542f316f39c17 dataset NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis 01235446432 RAL Space STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus Didcot OX11 0QX United Kingdom support@ceda.ac.uk pointOfContact 2026-04-12T02:26:22 UK GEMINI 2.3 WGS 84 Chapter 3 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Cross-Chapter Box 3.1, Figure 1 (v20220615) 2022-06-27T11:42:27 publication 2022-06-27T11:42:27 creation https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7 e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7 NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis 10.5285/e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7 doi Data for Cross-Chapter Box 3.1, Figure 1 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). Cross-Chapter Box 3.1, Figure 1 shows 15-year trends of surface global warming for 1998-2012 and 2012-2026. --------------------------------------------------- How to cite this dataset --------------------------------------------------- When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005. --------------------------------------------------- Figure subpanels --------------------------------------------------- The figure has four panels, with data provided for panels a and b in a subdirectory named panel_ab, and for panels c and d in subdirectories named panel_c and panel_d respectively. --------------------------------------------------- List of data provided --------------------------------------------------- This dataset contains:  - Observed and modelled global annual mean surface temperature and surface air temperature trends for 1998-2012 - Modelled global annual mean surface air temperature trends for 2012-2026 - Observed annual mean surface temperature trends for 1998-2012 - Composite of modelled annual mean surface air temperature trends for 1998-2012 --------------------------------------------------- Data provided in relation to figure --------------------------------------------------- Panel a: - gmst_trend_1998-2012 in panel_ab/GMST_trend.csv; HadCRUT5 for histogram, ensemble mean of HadCRUT5 and other observations for open triangles at the top, and multimodel ensemble means of CMIP5 and CMIP6 for open diamonds at the top - gsat_trend_1998-2012 in panel_ab/GSAT_trend.csv; CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles for histograms, ERA5 for the top filled triangle, and multimodel ensemble means of CMIP5 and CMIP6 for filled diamonds at the top Panel b: - gmst_trend_2012-2026 in panel_ab/GMST_trend.csv; multimodel ensemble means of CMIP5 and CMIP6 for open diamonds at the top - gsat_trend_2012-2026 in panel_ab/GSAT_trend.csv; CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles for histograms, and multimodel ensemble means of CMIP5 and CMIP6 for filled diamonds at the top Panel c: - tas in panel_c/TrendPattern_HadCRUT5_mean.nc; shading, with the sig attribute for cross markers Panel d: - tas in panel_d/TrendPattern_composite.nc: shading CMIP5 is the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. HadCRUT5 is a gridded dataset of global historical near-surface air temperature anomalies since the year 1850. --------------------------------------------------- Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data --------------------------------------------------- Multimodel ensemble means and histograms are calculated after weighting each ensemble member with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model. The values for panels c and d are stored with the K/year unit but scaled to the K/decade, therefore they need to be multiplied by a factor of 10 in order to be consistent with the plotted values. --------------------------------------------------- Sources of additional information --------------------------------------------------- The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record: - Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3) - Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1 - Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo. Kosaka, Yu Unavailable author Unavailable author Cassou, Christophe Unavailable author Unavailable author Kazeroni, Rémi Unavailable author Unavailable author NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis custodian 01235446432 RAL Space STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus Didcot OX11 0QX United Kingdom support@ceda.ac.uk custodian NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis distributor 01235446432 RAL Space STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus Didcot OX11 0QX United Kingdom support@ceda.ac.uk distributor NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis point_of_contact 01235446432 RAL Space STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus Didcot OX11 0QX United Kingdom support@ceda.ac.uk pointofContact NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis publisher 01235446432 RAL Space STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus Didcot OX11 0QX United Kingdom support@ceda.ac.uk publisher notPlanned dataset IPCC-DDC IPCC AR6 WG1 WGI Sixth Assessment Report Working Group 1 Physical Science Basis global near-surface air temperature changes decadal variability hiatus warming slowdown CMIP5 CMIP6 atmospheric conditions theme GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0 2008-06-01 publication otherRestrictions Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users. otherRestrictions Under the following licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record. grid English climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere -180.0 180.0 -90.0 90.0 1998-01-01T12:00:00 2026-12-31T12:00:00 Data are netCDF formatted NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis Data Center Contact 01235446432 RAL Space STFC Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, Harwell Campus Didcot OX11 0QX United Kingdom support@ceda.ac.uk distributor https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7 CEDA Data Catalogue Page Detail and access information for the resource information http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ar6_wg1/data/ch_03/ch3_ccb1_fig1/v20220615 DOWNLOAD Download Data download https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter_03_Supplementary_Material.pdf SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR REPORT CHAPTER: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun: 2021, Human Influence on the Climate System Supplementary Material. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change No further details. information https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6786635 IPCC-WG1/Chapter-3_CCBOX3.1_Fig1: IPCC AR6 WGI - CCBOX3.1_Fig1 No further details. information https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter_03.pdf ORIGIN OF FIGURE (IPCC REPORT CHAPTER): Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change No further details. information https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/figures/chapter-3/ccbox-3-1-figure-1/ LINK TO FIGURE No further details. information https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14986563 Complex Citation Object: CMIP6 input data usage information for IPCC WGI AR6 figure CCB3.1.1, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14986563 No further details. information dataset Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services 2010-12-08 Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI). Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).