Chapter 3 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Cross-Chapter Box 3.1, Figure 1 (v20220615)

Data for Cross-Chapter Box 3.1, Figure 1 from Chapter 3 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Cross-Chapter Box 3.1, Figure 1 shows 15-year trends of surface global warming for 1998-2012 and 2012-2026.

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How to cite this dataset

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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:

Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 423–552, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.005.

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Figure subpanels

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The figure has four panels, with data provided for panels a and b in a subdirectory named panel_ab, and for panels c and d in subdirectories named panel_c and panel_d respectively.

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List of data provided

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This dataset contains:

- Observed and modelled global annual mean surface temperature and surface air temperature trends for 1998-2012

- Modelled global annual mean surface air temperature trends for 2012-2026

- Observed annual mean surface temperature trends for 1998-2012

- Composite of modelled annual mean surface air temperature trends for 1998-2012

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Data provided in relation to figure

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Panel a:

- gmst_trend_1998-2012 in panel_ab/GMST_trend.csv; HadCRUT5 for histogram, ensemble mean of HadCRUT5 and other observations for open triangles at the top, and multimodel ensemble means of CMIP5 and CMIP6 for open diamonds at the top

- gsat_trend_1998-2012 in panel_ab/GSAT_trend.csv; CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles for histograms, ERA5 for the top filled triangle, and multimodel ensemble means of CMIP5 and CMIP6 for filled diamonds at the top

Panel b:

- gmst_trend_2012-2026 in panel_ab/GMST_trend.csv; multimodel ensemble means of CMIP5 and CMIP6 for open diamonds at the top

- gsat_trend_2012-2026 in panel_ab/GSAT_trend.csv; CMIP5 and CMIP6 ensembles for histograms, and multimodel ensemble means of CMIP5 and CMIP6 for filled diamonds at the top

Panel c:

- tas in panel_c/TrendPattern_HadCRUT5_mean.nc; shading, with the sig attribute for cross markers

Panel d:

- tas in panel_d/TrendPattern_composite.nc: shading

CMIP5 is the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

CMIP6 is the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project.

HadCRUT5 is a gridded dataset of global historical near-surface air temperature anomalies since the year 1850.

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Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data

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Multimodel ensemble means and histograms are calculated after weighting each ensemble member with the inverse of the ensemble size of the same model.

The values for panels c and d are stored with the K/year unit but scaled to the K/decade, therefore they need to be multiplied by a factor of 10 in order to be consistent with the plotted values.

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Sources of additional information

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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:

- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 3)

- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 3, which contains details on the input data used in Table 3.SM.1

- Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo.

Date (Publication): 2022-06-27T11:42:27

Date (Creation): 2022-06-27T11:42:27

Citation identifier: https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7

Citation identifier: NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis / e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7

Citation identifier: doi / 10.5285/e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7

Point of contact

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
Unavailable	Kosaka, Yu	Unavailable	Author
Unavailable	Cassou, Christophe	Unavailable	Author
Unavailable	Kazeroni, Rémi	Unavailable	Author
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Custodian
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Distributor
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	pointofContact
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Publisher

Maintenance and update frequency: Not planned

Update scope: Dataset

Keywords

IPCC-DDC
IPCC
AR6
WG1
WGI
Sixth Assessment Report
Working Group 1
Physical Science Basis
global near-surface air temperature changes
decadal variability
hiatus
warming slowdown
CMIP5
CMIP6

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

atmospheric conditions

Access constraints: Other restrictions

Other constraints: Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.

Use constraints: Other restrictions

Other constraints: Under the following licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.

Spatial representation type: Grid

Language: English

Topic category

Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere

Begin date: 1998-01-01T12:00:00

End date: 2026-12-31T12:00:00

Unique resource identifier: WGS 84

Distribution format

Name	Version
Data are netCDF formatted

Distributor contact

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Distributor

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7	CEDA Data Catalogue Page

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ar6_wg1/data/ch_03/ch3_ccb1_fig1/v20220615	DOWNLOAD

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter_03_Supplementary_Material.pdf	SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR REPORT CHAPTER: Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun: 2021, Human Influence on the Climate System Supplementary Material. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6786635	IPCC-WG1/Chapter-3_CCBOX3.1_Fig1: IPCC AR6 WGI - CCBOX3.1_Fig1

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter_03.pdf	ORIGIN OF FIGURE (IPCC REPORT CHAPTER): Eyring, V., N.P. Gillett, K.M. Achuta Rao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parrillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P.J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S. Min, O. Morgenstern, and Y. Sun, 2021: Human Influence on the Climate System. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/figures/chapter-3/ccbox-3-1-figure-1/	LINK TO FIGURE

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14986563	Complex Citation Object: CMIP6 input data usage information for IPCC WGI AR6 figure CCB3.1.1, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14986563

Hierarchy level: Dataset

Conformance result

Title: Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services

Date (Publication): 2010-12-08

Statement: Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).

Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

Metadata

File identifier: e299379f837142bfb2aa6df64cc66fe7 XML

Metadata language: English

Character set: UTF8

Parent identifier: IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Chapter 3: Human influence on the climate system
932c79b1f7cd4f34b7c542f316f39c17

Hierarchy level: Dataset

Date stamp: 2026-02-25T03:24:18

Metadata standard name: UK GEMINI

Metadata standard version: 2.3

Metadata author

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Point of contact

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