Chapter 10 of the Working Group I Contribution to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report - data for Figure 10.19 (v20220622)

Data for Figure 10.19 from Chapter 10 of the Working Group I (WGI) Contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6).

Figure 10.19 shows changes in the Indian summer monsoon in the historical and future periods.

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How to cite this dataset

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When citing this dataset, please include both the data citation below (under 'Citable as') and the following citation for the report component from which the figure originates:

Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A.A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W.J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B.L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T.S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, and Z. Zuo, 2021: Linking Global to Regional Climate Change. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 1363–1512, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.012.

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Figure subpanels

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The figure has 6 subpanels. Data for all subpanels is provided.

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List of data provided

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The dataset contains:

APHRODITE station density for June-September (JJAS) 1956

Precipitation June-September (JJAS):

- Model mean bias 1985-2010

- Observed and modelled trends: CRU TS 1950-2000, CMIP6 hist-GHG & hist-aer 1950-2000, and CMIP6 SSP5-8.5 2015-2100 trends

- Observed and model relative anomalies over 1950-2100 with respect to 1995-2014 averages over central India (lon: 76°E-87°E, lat: 20°N-28°N)

- Modelled change until 2081‒2100 with respect to 1995-2014 averages over central India (lon: 76°E-87°E, lat: 20°N-28°N)

- Trends in relative precipitation anomalies (baseline 1995-2014) over past (1950-2000) and future (2015-2100) period over central India (lon: 76°E-87°E, lat: 20°N-28°N).

- Trend difference between the 3 MPI-ESM runs with the lowest and the 3 MPI-ESM runs with the highest trend

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Data provided in relation to figure

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Panel (a):

APHRODITE station density for JJAS 1956:

- Data file:

Fig_10_19_panel-a_mapplot_APHRODITE_stationdensity_single_mean.nc

Panel (b):

CMIP6 mean precipitation bias June-September mean 1985-2010 mean with respect to CRU TS:

- Data file:

Fig_10_19_panel-b_mapplot_pr_cmip6_bias_pr_cmip6_maps_past_bias_MultiModelMean_bias.nc

Panel (c):

OLS linear precipitation for June-September mean trend of CRU TS 1950-2000 (top left), CMIP6 hist-GHG (bottom left) & hist-aer (bottom right) 1950-2000, and CMIP6 SSP5-8.5 2015-2100 (top right):

- Data files:

Fig_10_19_panel-c_mapplot_pr_cmip6_mean_trend_future_pr_cmip6_maps_trend_future_MultiModelMean_trend.nc,

Fig_10_19_panel-c_mapplot_pr_histaer_mean_trend_past_pr_aer_maps_trend_past_MultiModelMean_trend.nc,

Fig_10_19_panel-c_mapplot_pr_histghg_mean_trend_past_pr_ghg_maps_trend_past_MultiModelMean_trend.nc,

Fig_10_19_panel-c_mapplot_pr_obs_mean_trend_past_CRU_single_trend.nc;

Panel (d):

Observed and model relative precipitation June-September mean anomalies over 1950-2100 in respect to 1995-2014 averages over central India (lon: 76°E-87°E, lat: 20°N-28°N) (CRU TS (brown), GPCC (dark blue), REGEN (green), APHRO-MA (light brown), IITM all-India rainfall (light blue), CMIP6 hist all-forcings sample corresponding to DAMIP experiments (pink), CMIP6 hist-aer (grey), hist-GHG (light blue) CMIP6 historical/SSP5-8.5 (dark red) and CMIP5 historical/RCP8.5 (dark blue) and Modelled change until 2081‒2100 in respect to 1995-2014 averages over central India (CMIP6 SSP5-8.5 (dark red) and CMIP5 historical/RCP8.5 (dark blue)):

- Data files:

Fig_10_19_panel-d_timeseries.csv,

Fig_10_19_panel-d_boxplot.csv

Panel (e):

OLS linear trends in relative precipitation June-September mean anomalies (baseline 1995-2014) over past (1950-2000) and future (2015-2100) period over central India (lon: 76°E-87°E, lat: 20°N-28°N) of observations (GPCC, CRU TS, REGEN and APRHO-MA: black crosses) and models (individual members of CMIP5 historical-RCP8.5 (blue), CMIP6 historical-SSP5-8.5 (dark red), CMIP6 hist all-forcings sample corresponding to DAMIP experiments (pink circles), CMIP6 hist-GHG (blue triangles), CMIP6 hist-aer (grey triangles)), and box-and-whisker plots for the SMILEs: MIROC6, CSIRO-Mk3-6-0, MPI-ESM, d4PDF (grey shading):

- Data file:

Fig_10_19_panel-e_trends.csv

Panel (f):

June-September mean 2016-2045 OLS linear trend difference in precipitation between the 3 MPI-ESM runs with the lowest and the 3 MPI-ESM runs with the highest trend:

- Data file:

Fig_10_19_panel-f_mapplot_pr_mpige_mean_trend_future_spread_single_trend-difference-min3-max3.nc

Acronyms:

CMIP - Coupled Model Intercomparison Project,

APHRODITE - ASIAN PRECIPITATION - HIGHLY-RESOLVED OBSERVATIONAL DATA INTEGRATION TOWARDS EVALUATION OF WATER RESOURCES,

CRU TS- Climatic Research Unit Time Series,

GHG - Greenhouse gas,

IITM - Indian Institute of Technology Madras,

RCP - Representative Concentration Pathway,

DAIMP - Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project,

SSP - Shared Socioeconomic Pathways,

GPCC - GLOBAL PRECIPITATION CLIMATOLOGY CENTRE,

REGEN - Rainfall Estimates on a Gridded Network, S

MILEs -single model initial-condition large ensembles,

d4PDF - Database for Policy Decision-Making for Future Climate Change,

MIROC - Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate,

MPI - Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie,

ESM - Earth System Model,

Cordex – Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment,

OLS - ordinary least squares regression.

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Notes on reproducing the figure from the provided data

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The code for ESMValTool is provided.

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Sources of additional information

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The following weblinks are provided in the Related Documents section of this catalogue record:

- Link to the figure on the IPCC AR6 website

- Link to the report component containing the figure (Chapter 10)

- Link to the Supplementary Material for Chapter 10, which contains details on the input data used in Table 10.SM.11

- Link to the code for the figure, archived on Zenodo.

Date (Publication): 2022-06-29T09:42:59

Date (Creation): 2022-06-29T09:42:59

Citation identifier: https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/e79aab21bf644e61bf5dacd02199daa3

Citation identifier: NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis / e79aab21bf644e61bf5dacd02199daa3

Citation identifier: doi / 10.5285/e79aab21bf644e61bf5dacd02199daa3

Point of contact

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
Unavailable	Jury, Martin	Unavailable	Author
Unavailable	Turner, Andrew	Unavailable	Author
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Custodian
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Distributor
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	pointofContact
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Publisher

Maintenance and update frequency: Not planned

Update scope: Dataset

Keywords

IPCC-DDC
IPCC
AR6
WG1
WGI
Sixth Assessment Report
Working Group I
Physical Science Basis
Chapter 10
teleconnections
drivers
feedbacks
Linking global to regional
Regional scale
internal variability
forced change
model improvements
Figure 10.19
precipitation change
precipitation trends
Central India
Indian summer monsoon
climate projections

GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0

atmospheric conditions

Access constraints: Other restrictions

Other constraints: Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.

Use constraints: Other restrictions

Other constraints: Under the following licence http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, appropriate use of these data may fall under any use. This message is intended as guidance, always read the full licence. When using these data you must cite them correctly using the citation given on the CEDA Data Catalogue record.

Spatial representation type: Grid

Language: English

Topic category

Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere

Begin date: 1950-01-01T12:00:00

End date: 2100-12-31T12:00:00

Unique resource identifier: WGS 84

Distribution format

Name	Version
txt, netCDF, csv

Distributor contact

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Distributor

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/e79aab21bf644e61bf5dacd02199daa3	CEDA Data Catalogue Page

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	http://data.ceda.ac.uk/badc/ar6_wg1/data/ch_10/ch10_fig19/v20220622	DOWNLOAD

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter10.pdf	ORIGIN OF FIGURE (IPCC REPORT CHAPTER): Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A.A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W.J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B.L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T.S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, and Z. Zuo, 2021: Linking Global to Regional Climate Change. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6787528	IPCC AR6 WGI - Figure 10.19

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter10_SM.pdf	SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL FOR REPORT CHAPTER: Doblas-Reyes, F.J., A.A. Sörensson, M. Almazroui, A. Dosio, W.J. Gutowski, R. Haarsma, R. Hamdi, B. Hewitson, W.-T. Kwon, B.L. Lamptey, D. Maraun, T.S. Stephenson, I. Takayabu, L. Terray, A. Turner, and Z. Zuo, 2021: Linking Global to Regional Climate Change Supplementary Material. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/figures/chapter-10/figure-10-19	LINK TO FIGURE

OnLine resource

Protocol	Linkage	Name
	https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14986314	Complex Citation Object: CMIP6 input data usage information for IPCC WGI AR6 figure 10.19, Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14986314

Hierarchy level: Dataset

Conformance result

Title: Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services

Date (Publication): 2010-12-08

Statement: Data produced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) authors and supplied for archiving at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) by the Technical Support Unit (TSU) for IPCC Working Group I (WGI).

Data files converted to BADC-CSV format by CEDA staff.

Data curated on behalf of the IPCC Data Distribution Centre (IPCC-DDC).

Metadata

File identifier: e79aab21bf644e61bf5dacd02199daa3 XML

Metadata language: English

Character set: UTF8

Parent identifier: 6fbf9d885b7444aba681868c4006c86a
6fbf9d885b7444aba681868c4006c86a

Hierarchy level: Dataset

Date stamp: 2026-02-08T03:24:58

Metadata standard name: UK GEMINI

Metadata standard version: 2.3

Metadata author

Organisation name	Individual name	Electronic mail address	Role
NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis		support@ceda.ac.uk	Point of contact

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