BGS Hosted Metadata
Spatial risk analysis for Phytophthora pinifolia infection of Caledonian Pinewood Inventory fragments in Scotland
This dataset maps the potential vulnerability to Phytophthora pinifolia infection for 82 core fragments of the Caledonian Pinewood Inventory (CPI) in Scotland. Fragment risk scores integrate climate suitability for pathogen growth, proximity to other pine fragments and inspected premises and recent planting under forestry grant schemes. Data and models used to assess risks are variable in their time frames, but are broadly representative of the period from 2013 to 2023. The risk maps for Caledonian Pine assess the vulnerability of CPI fragments, if P. pinifolia were to arrive, and the most probable areas of introduction and establishment. P. pinifolia has not been detected in the UK but is on the UK Plant Health Risk Register. All known host species are within the genus Pinus, either recorded as naturally occurring disease affecting the shoots and needles of Pinus radiata, or established through pathogenicity trials on other species within the genus, albeit with varying levels of susceptibility. The only known source region for the pathogen is Chile. P. pinifolia has been ranked 8th among Phytophthora species mostly likely to arrive among the 109 Phytophthora species assessed, with this higher risk predominantly driven by the model component describing climatic similarity between forest, agricultural and urban habitats in the Chile and the UK. A Rapid Pest Risk Analysis for P pinifolia considered it unlikely to enter the UK due to restrictions on import of living pine species from non-EU countries, though transport may still be possible with other, unknown, hosts.
Simple
- Date (Publication)
- 2025-10-07
- Citation identifier
- https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872
- Point of contact
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Louise Barwell
Point of contact UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Barwell, L.J. Author UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Turvey, K. Author UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Amankwaa, G. Author UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Asaaga, F. Author James Hutton Institute Cooke, D.E.L. Author James Hutton Institute Mitchell, R. Author UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Purse, B.V. Author UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology Owner NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre Publisher NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre Custodian
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GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0
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Habitats and Biotopes
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- Access constraints
- Other restrictions
- Other constraints
- no limitations
- Use constraints
- Other restrictions
- Spatial representation type
- Grid
- Distance
- 15015 urn:ogc:def:uom:EPSG::9001
- Language
- English
- Character set
- UTF8
- Topic category
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- Environment
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- Unique resource identifier
- OSGB 1936 / British National Grid
- Distribution format
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Name Version TIFF
geopackage
- Distributor contact
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre
Distributor
- Hierarchy level
- Dataset
- Other
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dataset
Conformance result
- Title
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Commission Regulation (EU) No 1089/2010 of 23 November 2010 implementing Directive 2007/2/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards interoperability of spatial data sets and services
- Date (Publication)
- 2010-12-08
- Statement
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We employed an iterative and collaborative co-production process that brought together stakeholders with diverse expertise from across Scotland's plant health sector including forestry, conservation, horticulture, and government agencies. Risk factors and their scoring were agreed with 15 cross-sectoral stakeholders through a self-completion survey and two workshops. Overall risk scores integrate climate suitability (using pathogen-specific temperature-dependent growth curves and relative humidity thresholds), with proximity to other pine fragments, inspected premises and planting under forestry grant schemes. As agreed in the first workshop, climate suitability was given the greatest weight in the scoring of the risk factors. Due to the absence of any P. pinifolia detections in the UK, the spatial risk frameworks exclude proximity to infected areas. The final report was peer reviewed by the Plant Health Centre. In addition, a knowledge integration and validation workshop (November 13, 2024) examined the adequacy of the outputs for horizon scanning and decision-making across sectors. Validation of pathogen-specific climate suitability models has been attempted for other Phytophthora species using independent UK and European detections, but is not possible for P. pinifolia as the pathogen has not been detected in Europe.
Metadata
- File identifier
- ddee75ae-2ad0-4d16-81a9-20928d89e872 XML
- Metadata language
- English
- Character set
- 8859 Part 1
- Hierarchy level
- Dataset
- Hierarchy level name
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dataset
- Date stamp
- 2025-10-07T19:01:42
- Metadata standard name
- UK GEMINI
- Metadata standard version
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2.3
- Metadata author
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Organisation name Individual name Electronic mail address Role NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre Point of contact
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